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We are not in a trade war with China

05 April 2018

The turmoil followed Beijing's announcement on Wednesday of proposed counter-tariffs on some $50 billion worth of American products.

For manufactured goods, the new Chinese tariffs include cars and vehicle parts, plastics, aerospace products and chemicals. According to Adam Slater, the lead economist at Oxford Economics, the spat between the United States and China is not yet a full-on trade war, but the danger is certainly present. Whilst he had announced tariffs of 25 percent on all steel and 10 percent on all aluminum imports three weeks ago, he has since exempted all European Union countries, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, South Korea and Australia.

Shay urged the Trump administration to work with trading partners to hold China accountable and to "advance targeted solutions and recognize the unintended consequences of protectionist trade policies".

But none of the tariffs have taken effect yet, and Trump administration officials including National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow suggested the USA tariffs won't be implemented if China lowers barriers to trade.

The Trump administration's threats against China, including the two probes, don't lead to tangible action over the rest of 2017 as Trump shows restraint amid a budding relationship with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.

Escalating trade tensions will not only hurt their economies, but slow world economic growth.

Other affected countries, including South Korea and Mexico, threaten varying degrees of retaliation to the tariffs.

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Raising the tariffs on steel and aluminum will increase the cost of products made with them.

Beijing said it "strongly condemns and firmly opposes" the proposed U.S. tariffs, calling them "unilateralistic and protectionist", and vowing to retaliate.

"China's response was tougher than what the market was expecting - investors didn't foresee the country levying additional tariffs on sensitive and important products such as soybeans and airplanes", said Gao Qi, Singapore-based strategist at Scotiabank.

The Commerce Department is also due to release its report on new orders for manufactured goods in the month of February.

U.S. neighbors Canada and Mexico are exempted from the tariffs, with Trump saying other countries could potentially receive similar exemptions if they can "ensure that their products no longer threaten our security".

Fears of a trade war between the world's two largest economies - the United States of America (USA) and China - returned to haunt markets on Wednesday, mauling US stocks and sending investors into haven assets from Treasuries to gold.

The White House last night announced further 25pc tariffs covering around 1,300 technology, transport and medical products as US President Donald Trump seeks to close the country's trade deficit with its rival superpower.

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The American wine industry was hit directly by China's retaliatory measure, which imposes a 15 percent tariff on top of the existing tariffs and taxes going forward.

Tariffs on each side totaling $3 billion sounds like a lot of money, but is a small percentage of all the goods and services traded between the two nations.

The move comes after Washington slapped almost 1,300 Chinese goods with 25-percent tariffs.

The trade deficit with China rose to $337 billion in 2017, but Trump likes to ignore the dominant U.S. services sector and focus only on the deficit in goods alone, which was $375 billion a year ago although he uses a higher figure. But if the United States does get into a full-scale trade war, it would be the first time since the Great Depression.

President TrumpDonald John TrumpWalker warns of Dem wave in Wisconsin after liberal wins state judicial race Trump speaks with Israel's Netanyahu as tensions simmer in region Dem-backed candidate wins Wisconsin Supreme Court race MORE said the not in a trade war with China in a tweet hours after China unveiled the latest round of tariffs targeting $50 billion in US goods.

"We regret that soybeans are on the list".

"We pay the highest tariffs on average of any product", Steve Lamar, executive vice president of the American Apparel and Footwear Association, told CBS MoneyWatch last week. Soybean prices dropped as much as 5.3 per cent in Chicago, the most since July 2016.

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We are not in a trade war with China